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JM

J. Michael Sturdivant

Green Bay Packers · Wide receiverWR depth

6′3″, 207 lb · age 24 · Florida; UCLA; California

Week 6 stats

Sun Oct 18, vs DAL: J. Michael Sturdivant played 5% of snaps without a touch.

Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

J. Michael Sturdivant has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.

Week 7 projection

PPR points
2.2
WR117 this week
Receptions
0.5
Receiving yards
14
Anytime TD
4%

What a realistic week looks like

65%024%18%2345678910111213Receptions
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 2 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.

J. Michael Sturdivant snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsTDWe said
26 wk7———————0.5 projected
26 wk6DAL5%0.0%00000.5 -0.5
26 wk5CHI13%0.0%00000.8 -0.8
26 wk4TB3%3.3%10001.5 -1.5
26 wk3ATL32%5.9%332200.7 +2.3
26 wk2NYJ15%0.0%0000—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

J. Michael Sturdivant 2026 stats

Through 5 games of 2026, J. Michael Sturdivant has 3 catches for 22 receiving yards (0.6 catches and 4.4 yards a game), on 14% of snaps.

His first season in the warehouse, so there is no prior year to compare against and no career arc to draw — the projection leans on the league's rookies rather than on him.

2026 so far (5 games)
Catches per game0.6
Receiving yards per game4.4
Target share1.8%
The whole Green Bay Packers roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the Green Bay Packers receiver room, by target share.

Ranked next to him at WR for week 7.

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7