Sun Oct 18, vs DAL: Savion Williams caught 4 of 4 targets for 32 yards on 53% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 1 game this season Savion Williams is averaging 4.0 receptions and 32 receiving yards on 53% of snaps, against 0.8 receptions and 6 receiving yards over 12 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 4.5 PPR points, WR79 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
4.5
WR79 this week
Receptions
2.1
1.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
23
His snap share has grown from last season. The projection is lifted to reflect the larger role.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Savion Williams snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.1 projected
26 wk6
DAL
53%
10.0%
4
4
32
2
9
0
—
25 wk16
CHI
4%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
9
0
—
25 wk12
MIN
12%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
0
0
—
25 wk11
NYG
4%
4.0%
1
1
33
0
0
0
—
25 wk10
PHI
9%
6.1%
2
2
2
0
0
0
—
25 wk9
CAR
29%
5.7%
2
2
12
1
0
0
—
25 wk8
PIT
19%
2.9%
1
1
8
1
1
1
—
25 wk7
ARI
7%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk6
CIN
11%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
3
0
—
25 wk4
DAL
12%
8.3%
3
3
22
1
1
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 12 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
1 of 12
8%
5+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 12
8%
Savion Williams 2026 stats
Through 1 game of 2026, Savion Williams has 4 catches for 32 receiving yards (4.0 catches and 32.0 yards a game), on 53% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (1 game)
2025–2025 (12 games)
Catches per game
4.0
0.8
Receiving yards per game
32.0
6.5
Target share
10.0%
2.6%
Savion Williams 2025 stats
In 2025 Savion Williams had 10 catches for 78 yards over 12 games, with 1 touchdown, on 12% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016