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Noah Gray injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

Kansas City Chiefs · Tight end · status this week: not on the week 7 injury report (week 7 report, captured Wed 21 Oct, 6:15am)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 5 full seasons on record, Noah Gray played 82 of 85 regular-season games (96%), and 5 of 5 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The Kansas City Chiefs room absorbs +0.46 receptions, and Travis Kelce takes the largest single share at +0.23. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the tight end room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Noah Gray sitsTravis Kelce+0.2TE 78% snapsJake Briningstool+0.2TE 13% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Noah Gray TE · 61% snaps2.10—OUT
Rashee Rice WR · 55% snaps4.504.50+0.00
Travis Kelce TE · 78% snaps3.804.03+0.23
Xavier Worthy WR · 82% snaps3.803.80+0.00
Kenneth Walker III RB · 76% snaps2.402.40+0.00
Tyquan Thornton WR · 56% snaps2.202.20+0.00
Andrew Armstrong WR · 69% snaps1.701.70+0.00
Jalen Royals WR · 43% snaps1.601.60+0.00
Emmett Johnson RB · 26% snaps1.101.10+0.00
Brashard Smith RB · 6% snaps0.800.80+0.00
Justin Watson WR · 2% snaps0.700.70+0.00
Cyrus Allen WR · 7% snaps0.600.60+0.00
Jake Briningstool TE · 13% snaps0.100.33+0.23

Injury history

Over his 5 full seasons on record, Noah Gray played 82 of 85 regular-season games (96%), and 5 of 5 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026KC5 of 5000—
2025KC16 of 17110Concussion
2024KC17 of 17000—
2023KC17 of 17000—
2022KC17 of 17000—
2021KC15 of 17200—

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one tight end does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1072,1602.29
Tight ends+0.4921,0249.57
Backs-0.0451,259-0.92

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Noah Gray’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7