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Cade Otton injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Tight end · status this week: not on the week 7 injury report (week 7 report, captured Wed 21 Oct, 6:15am)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 4 full seasons on record, Cade Otton played 63 of 68 regular-season games (93%), and 6 of 6 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers room absorbs +2.68 receptions, and Payne Durham takes the largest single share at +0.76. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the tight end room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Cade Otton sitsPayne Durham+0.8TE 28% snapsBauer Sharp+0.8TE 6% snapsKo Kieft+0.8TE 2% snapsEmeka Egbuka+0.1WR 86% snapsChris Godwin Jr.+0.1WR 83% snapsTed Hurst III+0.1WR 57% snapsTez Johnson+0.1WR 36% snapsKameron Johnson+0.1WR 4% snapsJalen McMillan+0.1WR 7% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Cade Otton TE · 94% snaps3.50—OUT
Emeka Egbuka WR · 86% snaps4.504.57+0.07
Chris Godwin Jr. WR · 83% snaps3.903.97+0.07
Bucky Irving RB · 66% snaps2.402.40+0.00
Ted Hurst III WR · 57% snaps2.002.07+0.07
Kenny Gainwell RB · 35% snaps1.901.90+0.00
Tez Johnson WR · 36% snaps1.601.67+0.07
Kameron Johnson WR · 4% snaps0.400.47+0.07
Payne Durham TE · 28% snaps0.401.16+0.76
Bauer Sharp TE · 6% snaps0.200.95+0.75
Jalen McMillan WR · 7% snaps0.200.27+0.07
Ko Kieft TE · 2% snaps0.200.95+0.75

Injury history

Over his 4 full seasons on record, Cade Otton played 63 of 68 regular-season games (93%), and 6 of 6 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026TB6 of 6000—
2025TB16 of 17100Knee
2024TB14 of 17310Knee
2023TB17 of 17000—
2022TB16 of 17100—

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one tight end does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1072,1602.29
Tight ends+0.4921,0249.57
Backs-0.0451,259-0.92

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Cade Otton’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7