Sun Oct 11, at ARI: Brock Wright caught 1 of 1 target for 11 yards on 67% of snaps.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Brock Wright is averaging 1.0 receptions and 6 receiving yards on 47% of snaps, against 1.3 receptions and 10 receiving yards over 11 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 3.6 PPR points, TE48 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
3.6
TE48 this week
Receptions
1.6
0.3 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
14
Anytime TD
15%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.09 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Brock Wright snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.6 projected
26 wk5
ARI
67%
3.4%
1
1
11
0
1.2 -0.2
26 wk4
CAR
35%
3.9%
2
1
8
0
1.1 -0.1
26 wk3
NYJ
58%
6.5%
2
2
7
0
1.0 +1.0
26 wk2
BUF
26%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
NO
51%
2.6%
1
1
5
0
—
25 wk12
NYG
88%
10.5%
4
3
29
0
—
25 wk11
PHI
83%
19.4%
7
2
8
0
—
25 wk10
WAS
39%
3.1%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk9
MIN
55%
2.8%
1
1
11
0
—
25 wk7
TB
54%
10.7%
3
3
23
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 13 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
3 of 13
23%
5+ receptions
0 of 13
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 13
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 13
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 13
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 13
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 13
15%
Brock Wright 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Brock Wright has 5 catches for 31 receiving yards (1.0 catches and 6.2 yards a game), on 47% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2021–2025 (72 games)
Catches per game
1.0
1.0
Receiving yards per game
6.2
9.2
Target share
3.3%
4.4%
Brock Wright 2025 stats
In 2025 Brock Wright had 14 catches for 108 yards over 11 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 58% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016