6′3″, 245 lb · age 31 · Central Michigan; Northwood · 2018 draft, round 5
Week 5 stats
Sun Oct 11, at ARI: Tyler Conklin played 12% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 5; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 3 games this season Tyler Conklin is averaging 0.0 receptions and 0 receiving yards on 10% of snaps, against 0.7 receptions and 10 receiving yards over 10 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 1.0 PPR points, TE83 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
1.0
TE83 this week
Receptions
0.2
0.5 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
0
Anytime TD
14%
His snap share has fallen from last season. The projection is pulled down to reflect the smaller role rather than last year’s.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 1 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Tyler Conklin snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.2 projected
26 wk5
ARI
12%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.4 -0.4
26 wk2
BUF
6%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
NO
13%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
DEN
32%
2.6%
1
1
6
0
—
25 wk13
LV
3%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk10
PIT
32%
3.0%
1
1
12
0
—
25 wk8
MIN
10%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk6
MIA
5%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk5
WAS
30%
9.4%
3
2
30
0
—
25 wk4
NYG
19%
2.6%
1
1
3
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 12 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 12
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 12
8%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 12
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 12
0%
Tyler Conklin 2026 stats
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (3 games)
2018–2025 (126 games)
Catches per game
0.0
2.2
Receiving yards per game
0.0
21.0
Target share
0.0%
9.0%
Tyler Conklin 2025 stats
In 2025 Tyler Conklin had 7 catches for 101 yards over 10 games, on 25% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
9 seasons of usage, 2018–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016