Sun Oct 18, at TB: Robert Tonyan played 10% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Robert Tonyan is averaging 0.2 receptions and 0 receiving yards on 5% of snaps, against 0.1 receptions and 0 receiving yards over 16 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 1.0 PPR points, TE80 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
1.0
TE80 this week
Receptions
0.2
0.2 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
0
Anytime TD
11%
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 1 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Robert Tonyan snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
0.2 projected
26 wk6
TB
10%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.4 -0.4
26 wk5
IND
8%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.1 -0.1
26 wk4
CLE
1%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.1 -0.1
26 wk3
CIN
6%
3.2%
1
1
2
0
0.1 +0.9
26 wk2
NE
3%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
ATL
3%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
LV
3%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
TEN
4%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
LAC
5%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk14
HOU
6%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 18
0%
Robert Tonyan 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Robert Tonyan has 1 catches for 2 receiving yards (0.2 catches and 0.3 yards a game), on 5% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2018–2025 (105 games)
Catches per game
0.2
1.5
Receiving yards per game
0.3
15.5
Target share
0.5%
6.0%
Robert Tonyan 2025 stats
In 2025 Robert Tonyan had 1 catches for 1 yards over 16 games, on 12% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
9 seasons of usage, 2018–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016