Sun Oct 18, vs CHI: Austin Hooper caught 1 of 1 target for 6 yards on 13% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Austin Hooper is averaging 1.0 receptions and 8 receiving yards on 24% of snaps, against 1.2 receptions and 14 receiving yards over 20 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 3.6 PPR points, TE47 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
3.6
TE47 this week
Receptions
1.1
0.1 below his 2025 average
Receiving yards
14
Anytime TD
19%
He is the third-down option, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.09 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 3 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Austin Hooper snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
1.1 projected
26 wk6
CHI
13%
3.0%
1
1
6
0
1.0 +0.0
26 wk5
BAL
16%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0.8 -0.8
26 wk4
NO
23%
5.0%
1
1
9
0
0.8 +0.2
26 wk3
GB
23%
8.7%
2
2
11
1
0.7 +1.3
26 wk2
CAR
43%
12.9%
4
2
20
0
—
26 wk1
PIT
23%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk22
SEA
44%
7.3%
3
2
10
0
—
25 wk21
DEN
41%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk20
HOU
34%
7.7%
2
1
14
0
—
25 wk19
LAC
59%
7.4%
2
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 22 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
2 of 22
9%
5+ receptions
0 of 22
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 22
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 22
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 22
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 22
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 22
9%
Austin Hooper 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Austin Hooper has 6 catches for 46 receiving yards (1.0 catches and 7.7 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 24% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2016–2025 (166 games)
Catches per game
1.0
2.7
Receiving yards per game
7.7
27.8
Target share
4.9%
11.8%
Austin Hooper 2025 stats
In 2025 Austin Hooper had 24 catches for 287 yards over 20 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 49% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
11 seasons of usage, 2016–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016