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T.J. Hockenson injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

Minnesota Vikings · Tight end · status this week: QUESTIONABLE (ESPN)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 7 full seasons on record, T.J. Hockenson played 97 of 117 regular-season games (83%), and 5 of 5 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The Minnesota Vikings room absorbs +2.22 receptions, and Josh Oliver takes the largest single share at +0.72. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the tight end room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if T.J. Hockenson sitsJosh Oliver+0.7TE 50% snapsBen Yurosek+0.6TE 55% snapsGavin Bartholomew+0.5TE 30% snapsJustin Jefferson+0.1WR 67% snapsJauan Jennings+0.1WR 81% snapsTai Felton+0.1WR 60% snapsJordan Addison+0.1WR 94% snapsMyles Price+0.1WR 22% snapsJeshaun Jones+0.1WR 6% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
T.J. Hockenson TE · 60% snaps3.40—OUT
Justin Jefferson WR · 67% snaps4.204.27+0.07
Aaron Jones RB · 80% snaps3.003.00+0.00
Jordan Addison WR · 94% snaps2.702.76+0.06
Jauan Jennings WR · 81% snaps2.202.27+0.07
Gavin Bartholomew TE · 30% snaps2.102.59+0.49
Tai Felton WR · 60% snaps1.101.17+0.07
DeeJay Dallas RB · 13% snaps0.900.90+0.00
Myles Price WR · 22% snaps0.900.96+0.06
Ben Yurosek TE · 55% snaps0.701.32+0.62
Demond Claiborne RB · 7% snaps0.700.70+0.00
Josh Oliver TE · 50% snaps0.601.32+0.72
Jeshaun Jones WR · 6% snaps0.500.56+0.06

Injury history

Over his 7 full seasons on record, T.J. Hockenson played 97 of 117 regular-season games (83%), and 5 of 5 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026MIN5 of 5000—
2025MIN15 of 17220Shoulder
2024MIN10 of 17712Knee
2023MIN15 of 17201Ribs
2022MIN17 of 17001Hip
2021DET12 of 17503Knee, Hand
2020DET16 of 16001Toe
2019DET12 of 16402Concussion, Shoulder

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one tight end does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1072,1602.29
Tight ends+0.4921,0249.57
Backs-0.0451,259-0.92

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

T.J. Hockenson’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7