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JO

Josh Oliver

Minnesota Vikings · Tight endTE depth

6′5″, 264 lb · age 29 · San Jose State · 2019 draft, round 3

Josh Oliver is on reserve / ir and cannot play. Roster status as of the week-7 roster, which persists until he is activated, so no week-7 projection is produced for him. His usage and history are below. See the rest of the Minnesota Vikings room →

Week 3 stats

Sun Sep 27, at TB: Josh Oliver played 41% of snaps without a touch.

Stats through week 3. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Over 15 games last season Josh Oliver averaged 1.0 receptions and 11 yards on 46% of snaps. His usage and history are below; there is no week 7 projection because he is not available to play.

Josh Oliver snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsTDWe said
26 wk3TB41%0.0%00001.9 -1.9
26 wk2CHI60%5.3%11240—
26 wk1GB65%17.4%42220—
25 wk18GB46%6.7%22290—
25 wk17DET93%14.3%2180—
25 wk16NYG52%13.0%32190—
25 wk15DAL62%4.2%11180—
25 wk14WAS62%8.7%22242—
25 wk13SEA42%0.0%0000—
25 wk12GB55%5.6%1140—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 17 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 170%
5+ receptions0 of 170%
7+ receptions0 of 170%
50+ receiving yards0 of 170%
75+ receiving yards0 of 170%
100+ receiving yards0 of 170%
Scored a touchdown3 of 1718%

Josh Oliver 2026 stats

Through 3 games of 2026, Josh Oliver has 3 catches for 46 receiving yards (1.0 catches and 15.3 yards a game), on 55% of snaps.

Against the rest of his career

2026 so far (3 games)2019–2025 (83 games)
Catches per game1.01.1
Receiving yards per game15.310.7
Target share7.6%5.0%

Josh Oliver 2025 stats

In 2025 Josh Oliver had 15 catches for 160 yards over 15 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 46% of snaps.

Season by season

Josh Oliver: snap share and target share by season0204060801002019202120222023202420252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Josh Oliver: targets and catches per game by season0.00.51.01.52.02.52019202120222023202420252026TargetsCatchesSeason
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Josh Oliver: yards per game by season051015203.820195.120219.7202212.5202316.4202410.7202515.32026
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
Josh Oliver: touchdowns per game by season00.10.20.30.40.0020190.0020210.1120220.1220230.1920240.2720250.002026
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.

7 seasons of usage, 2019–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole Minnesota Vikings roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the Minnesota Vikings tight end room, by target share.

What we have measured about tight ends

Does a new head coach change who gets the ball?It changes WHO, not how muchIs any defense actually “weak against tight ends”?Not a real trait

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7