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Justin Jefferson injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

Minnesota Vikings · Wide receiver · status this week: QUESTIONABLE (ESPN)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 6 full seasons on record, Justin Jefferson played 94 of 101 regular-season games (93%), and 4 of 5 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The Minnesota Vikings room absorbs +1.13 receptions, and Jordan Addison takes the largest single share at +0.23. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Justin Jefferson sitsJordan Addison+0.2WR 94% snapsTai Felton+0.2WR 60% snapsJeshaun Jones+0.2WR 6% snapsJauan Jennings+0.2WR 81% snapsMyles Price+0.2WR 22% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Justin Jefferson WR · 67% snaps4.20—OUT
T.J. Hockenson TE · 60% snaps3.403.40+0.00
Aaron Jones RB · 80% snaps3.003.00+0.00
Jordan Addison WR · 94% snaps2.702.93+0.23
Jauan Jennings WR · 81% snaps2.202.42+0.22
Gavin Bartholomew TE · 30% snaps2.102.10+0.00
Tai Felton WR · 60% snaps1.101.33+0.23
DeeJay Dallas RB · 13% snaps0.900.90+0.00
Myles Price WR · 22% snaps0.901.12+0.22
Ben Yurosek TE · 55% snaps0.700.70+0.00
Demond Claiborne RB · 7% snaps0.700.70+0.00
Josh Oliver TE · 50% snaps0.600.60+0.00
Jeshaun Jones WR · 6% snaps0.500.73+0.23

Injury history

Over his 6 full seasons on record, Justin Jefferson played 94 of 101 regular-season games (93%), and 4 of 5 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026MIN4 of 5111Ankle
2025MIN17 of 17000—
2024MIN17 of 17000—
2023MIN10 of 17704Hamstring, Chest
2022MIN17 of 17000—
2021MIN17 of 17000—
2020MIN16 of 16000—

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one wide receiver does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.5841,53711.16
Tight ends+0.1751,0803.33
Backs+0.1131,0112.00

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Justin Jefferson’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7