Slate StatsNFLInjury impact

If Davante Adams is out, who gets his targets?

The Los Angeles Rams room absorbs +0.85 receptions, and Jordan Whittington takes the largest single share at +0.22. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Davante Adams sitsJordan Whittington+0.2WR 41% snapsPuka Nacua+0.2WR 70% snapsKonata Mumpfield+0.2WR 48% snapsXavier Smith+0.2WR 34% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerNowIf outChange
Puka Nacua WR · 70% snaps6.006.21+0.21
Davante Adams WR · 60% snaps4.50OUT
Colby Parkinson TE · 74% snaps2.402.40+0.00
Kyren Williams RB · 60% snaps2.302.30+0.00
Terrance Ferguson TE · 54% snaps1.901.90+0.00
Tyler Higbee TE · 23% snaps1.401.40+0.00
Davis Allen TE · 43% snaps1.201.20+0.00
Konata Mumpfield WR · 48% snaps1.001.21+0.21
Xavier Smith WR · 34% snaps0.901.11+0.21
Jordan Whittington WR · 41% snaps0.901.12+0.22
Blake Corum RB · 34% snaps0.800.80+0.00
Ronnie Rivers RB · 13% snaps0.500.50+0.00

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.5841,53711.16
Tight ends+0.1751,0803.33
Backs+0.1131,0112.00

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Davante Adams’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 3