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Mike Evans injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

San Francisco 49ers · Wide receiver · status this week: QUESTIONABLE (ESPN)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 10 full seasons on record, Mike Evans played 146 of 165 regular-season games (88%), and 6 of 6 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The San Francisco 49ers room absorbs +5.33 receptions, and Jordan Watkins takes the largest single share at +0.92. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Mike Evans sitsJordan Watkins+0.9WR 45% snapsJacob Cowing+0.7WR 35% snapsMalik Turner+0.6WR 5% snapsKhaDarel Hodge+0.6WR 47% snapsDeebo Samuel Sr.+0.6WR 62% snapsDemarcus Robinson+0.5WR 31% snapsBrandin Cooks+0.5WR 35% snapsGeorge Kittle+0.1TE 81% snapsLuke Farrell+0.1TE 48% snapsBrayden Willis+0.1TE 14% snapsChristian McCaffrey+0.1RB 75% snapsKaelon Black+0.1RB 23% snapsJordan James+0.1RB 15% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Mike Evans WR · 50% snaps3.90—OUT
George Kittle TE · 81% snaps4.604.75+0.15
Christian McCaffrey RB · 75% snaps4.504.63+0.13
Deebo Samuel Sr. WR · 62% snaps2.503.11+0.61
Demarcus Robinson WR · 31% snaps2.002.51+0.51
Brandin Cooks WR · 35% snaps1.401.89+0.49
Jordan Watkins WR · 45% snaps0.901.82+0.92
Malik Turner WR · 5% snaps0.801.44+0.64
Jacob Cowing WR · 35% snaps0.501.18+0.68
Kaelon Black RB · 23% snaps0.400.53+0.13
Luke Farrell TE · 48% snaps0.300.45+0.15
Jordan James RB · 15% snaps0.200.33+0.13
Brayden Willis TE · 14% snaps0.100.25+0.15
KhaDarel Hodge WR · 47% snaps0.100.74+0.64

Injury history

Over his 10 full seasons on record, Mike Evans played 146 of 165 regular-season games (88%), and 6 of 6 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026SF6 of 6003Ribs, Hip
2025TB8 of 17942Hamstring, Collarbone
2024TB14 of 17331Hamstring
2023TB17 of 17000—
2022TB15 of 17201Calf
2021TB16 of 17111Hamstring
2020TB16 of 16001Ankle, Hamstring
2019TB13 of 16311Hamstring, Illness
2018TB16 of 16000—
2017TB15 of 16100—
2016TB16 of 16000—

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one wide receiver does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.5841,53711.16
Tight ends+0.1751,0803.33
Backs+0.1131,0112.00

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Mike Evans’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7