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Luther Burden III injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

Chicago Bears · Wide receiver · status this week: not on the week 7 injury report (week 7 report, captured Wed 21 Oct, 6:15am)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 1 full season on record, Luther Burden III played 15 of 17 regular-season games (88%), and 6 of 6 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The Chicago Bears room absorbs +3.74 receptions, and Kalif Raymond takes the largest single share at +0.84. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Luther Burden III sitsKalif Raymond+0.8WR 61% snapsJahdae Walker+0.8WR 8% snapsZavion Thomas+0.6WR 12% snapsRome Odunze+0.6WR 91% snapsColston Loveland+0.1TE 85% snapsCole Kmet+0.1TE 64% snapsSam Roush+0.1TE 22% snapsD'Andre Swift+0.1RB 58% snapsKyle Monangai+0.1RB 40% snapsZavier Scott+0.1RB 0% snapsRoschon Johnson+0.1RB 23% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Luther Burden III WR · 58% snaps4.50—OUT
Colston Loveland TE · 85% snaps4.004.15+0.15
Rome Odunze WR · 91% snaps4.004.56+0.56
D'Andre Swift RB · 58% snaps3.103.23+0.13
Kalif Raymond WR · 61% snaps2.903.74+0.84
Cole Kmet TE · 64% snaps1.201.35+0.15
Roschon Johnson RB · 23% snaps1.201.32+0.12
Kyle Monangai RB · 40% snaps1.101.23+0.13
Zavion Thomas WR · 12% snaps0.901.51+0.61
Sam Roush TE · 22% snaps0.700.85+0.15
Zavier Scott RB · 0% snaps0.700.83+0.13
Jahdae Walker WR · 8% snaps0.200.97+0.77

Injury history

Over his 1 full season on record, Luther Burden III played 15 of 17 regular-season games (88%), and 6 of 6 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026CHI6 of 6000—
2025CHI15 of 17220Ankle, Concussion

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one wide receiver does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.5841,53711.16
Tight ends+0.1751,0803.33
Backs+0.1131,0112.00

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Luther Burden III’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7