Sun Oct 18, at LA: Kendrick Bourne caught 5 of 8 targets for 47 yards on 57% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Kendrick Bourne is averaging 3.7 receptions and 38 receiving yards on 59% of snaps, against 2.1 receptions and 31 receiving yards over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 6.4 PPR points, WR60 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
6.4
WR60 this week
Receptions
2.5
0.5 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
27
Anytime TD
18%
He is used both near the goal line and on third down, roles that run slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.11 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 5 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Kendrick Bourne snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.5 projected
26 wk6
LA
57%
23.5%
8
5
47
0
2.9 +2.1
26 wk5
DET
49%
17.4%
8
5
70
0
2.4 +2.6
26 wk4
NYG
64%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
2.7 -2.7
26 wk3
SF
55%
6.0%
3
2
22
0
2.9 -0.9
26 wk2
SEA
60%
11.5%
3
2
11
0
—
26 wk1
LAC
67%
21.6%
8
8
75
0
—
25 wk20
SEA
40%
7.4%
2
0
0
0
—
25 wk19
PHI
37%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
SEA
52%
3.7%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
CHI
26%
3.0%
1
1
25
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
7 of 20
35%
5+ receptions
3 of 20
15%
7+ receptions
2 of 20
10%
50+ receiving yards
3 of 20
15%
75+ receiving yards
3 of 20
15%
100+ receiving yards
2 of 20
10%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 20
0%
Kendrick Bourne 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Kendrick Bourne has 22 catches for 225 receiving yards (3.7 catches and 37.5 yards a game), on 59% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2017–2025 (133 games)
Catches per game
3.7
2.6
Receiving yards per game
37.5
33.3
Target share
13.3%
11.6%
Kendrick Bourne 2025 stats
In 2025 Kendrick Bourne had 37 catches for 551 yards over 18 games, on 55% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
10 seasons of usage, 2017–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016