5′11″, 184 lb · age 26 · Penn State · 2022 draft, round 1
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs CHI: Jahan Dotson caught 3 of 5 targets for 87 yards, 1 touchdown on 85% of snaps.
Stats through week 6; the week 7 projection below. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Jahan Dotson is averaging 1.8 receptions and 39 receiving yards on 70% of snaps, against 1.0 receptions and 15 receiving yards over 18 games last season. For week 7 the model projects 6.6 PPR points, WR59 this week.
Week 7 projection
PPR points
6.6
WR59 this week
Receptions
2.1
1.1 above his 2025 average
Receiving yards
37
Anytime TD
20%
He is used near the goal line, a role that runs slightly ahead of trailing form: +0.08 receptions.
What a realistic week looks like
The projection is the center of this, not a prediction of one number. Eight weeks in ten he lands between 0 and 4 receptions. The shaded bars are that range. This distribution is calibrated — predicted against realized agrees within 0.012 in every decile across 49,202 checks.
Jahan Dotson snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk7
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
2.1 projected
26 wk6
CHI
85%
15.2%
5
3
87
1
1.9 +1.1
26 wk5
BAL
66%
11.8%
4
2
54
0
1.7 +0.3
26 wk4
NO
63%
15.0%
3
2
54
1
1.9 +0.1
26 wk3
GB
66%
13.0%
3
1
11
0
1.8 -0.8
26 wk2
CAR
75%
12.9%
4
2
11
0
—
26 wk1
PIT
63%
15.8%
3
1
19
0
—
25 wk19
SF
52%
2.9%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
WAS
94%
23.5%
8
3
40
0
—
25 wk17
BUF
48%
4.5%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
WAS
66%
10.3%
3
3
13
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 20 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
3 of 20
15%
5+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 20
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 20
5%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 20
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 20
5%
Jahan Dotson 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Jahan Dotson has 11 catches for 236 receiving yards (1.8 catches and 39.3 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 70% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2022–2025 (68 games)
Catches per game
1.8
1.8
Receiving yards per game
39.3
23.1
Target share
13.9%
10.1%
Jahan Dotson 2025 stats
In 2025 Jahan Dotson had 18 catches for 262 yards over 18 games, with 1 touchdown, on 57% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016