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If Jahan Dotson is out, who gets his targets?
The Atlanta Falcons room absorbs +0.86 receptions, and Zachariah Branch takes the largest single share at +0.22. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.
Where the work goes
Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.
Every player in the room
| Player | Now | If out | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Drake London WR · 80% snaps | 4.70 | 4.91 | +0.21 |
| Bijan Robinson RB · 64% snaps | 4.20 | 4.20 | +0.00 |
| Kyle Pitts TE · 50% snaps | 2.50 | 2.50 | +0.00 |
| Jahan Dotson WR · 69% snaps | 1.80 | — | OUT |
| Olamide Zaccheaus WR · 36% snaps | 1.50 | 1.71 | +0.21 |
| Zachariah Branch WR · 25% snaps | 1.10 | 1.32 | +0.22 |
| Brian Robinson RB · 36% snaps | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.00 |
| Austin Hooper TE · 33% snaps | 0.70 | 0.70 | +0.00 |
| Chris Blair WR · 33% snaps | 0.70 | 0.92 | +0.22 |
| Charlie Woerner TE · 55% snaps | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.00 |
What the data says happens
Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.
| Room | Receptions gained | n | t |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receivers | +0.584 | 1,537 | 11.16 |
| Tight ends | +0.175 | 1,080 | 3.33 |
| Backs | +0.113 | 1,011 | 2.00 |
The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.
Jahan Dotson’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection