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Arian Smith

New York Jets · Wide receiverWR depth

6′0″, 179 lb · age 25 · Georgia · 2025 draft, round 4

Arian Smith is on reserve / ir and cannot play. Roster status as of the week-7 roster, which persists until he is activated, so no week-7 projection is produced for him. His usage and history are below. See the rest of the New York Jets room →

Week 2 stats

Sun Sep 20, vs GB: Arian Smith played 1% of snaps without a touch.

Stats through week 2. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.

Over 16 games last season Arian Smith averaged 0.4 receptions and 3 yards on 38% of snaps. His usage and history are below; there is no week 7 projection because he is not available to play.

Arian Smith snap share, game by game

Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.

Game log

GameOppSnap shareTarget shareTgtRecRec ydsCarRush ydsTDWe said
26 wk2GB1%0.0%000000—
26 wk1TEN3%4.3%100000—
25 wk18BUF33%9.1%200120—
25 wk17NE16%3.1%115000—
25 wk16NO11%2.9%100000—
25 wk15JAX13%6.2%200000—
25 wk14MIA2%0.0%000000—
25 wk12BAL24%0.0%000180—
25 wk11NE16%0.0%000000—
25 wk10CLE67%0.0%0001130—

“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.

How often he has actually done it

Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.

OutcomeGames it happenedHow often
3+ receptions0 of 180%
5+ receptions0 of 180%
7+ receptions0 of 180%
50+ receiving yards0 of 180%
75+ receiving yards0 of 180%
100+ receiving yards0 of 180%
Scored a touchdown0 of 180%

Arian Smith 2026 stats

Against the rest of his career

2026 so far (2 games)2025–2025 (16 games)
Catches per game0.00.4
Receiving yards per game0.03.2
Target share2.2%3.6%

Arian Smith 2025 stats

In 2025 Arian Smith had 7 catches for 52 yards over 16 games, on 38% of snaps.

Season by season

Arian Smith: snap share and target share by season02040608010020252026Snap shareTarget shareSeasonshare of the team
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Arian Smith: targets and catches per game by season0.00.20.50.81.020252026TargetsCatchesSeason
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Arian Smith: yards per game by season012343.220250.02026
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
Arian Smith: touchdowns per game by season00.250.50.7510.0020250.002026
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.

2 seasons of usage, 2025–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016

The whole New York Jets roomEvery pass-catcher ranked by the usage that predicts production

Related players

The rest of the New York Jets receiver room, by target share.

What we have measured about wide receivers

Are players better coming off a bye week?They are slightly worseDo defenses shut down the other team’s best receiver?Barely

Projections are as-of-week with no lookahead · usage from official play-by-play and snap counts · 2026 week 7