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Theo Johnson injury: status, history and who gets his targets if he is out

New York Giants · Tight end · status this week: QUESTIONABLE (ESPN)

Checked Oct 21, 2026.

Over his 2 full seasons on record, Theo Johnson played 27 of 34 regular-season games (79%), and 5 of 6 so far in 2026. Season by season.

The New York Giants room absorbs +0.71 receptions, and Isaiah Likely takes the largest single share at +0.24. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the tight end room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Theo Johnson sitsIsaiah Likely+0.2TE 78% snapsChris Manhertz+0.2TE 32% snapsThomas Fidone II+0.2TE 38% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerCatches nowIf he sitsChange
Theo Johnson TE · 32% snaps1.60—OUT
Malik Nabers WR · 81% snaps6.506.50+0.00
Isaiah Likely TE · 78% snaps5.105.34+0.24
Malachi Fields WR · 76% snaps2.602.60+0.00
Cam Skattebo RB · 54% snaps2.002.00+0.00
Darnell Mooney WR · 54% snaps1.601.60+0.00
Tyrone Tracy Jr. RB · 16% snaps1.201.20+0.00
Devin Singletary RB · 33% snaps1.101.10+0.00
Thomas Fidone II TE · 38% snaps0.700.93+0.23
Charlie Jones WR · 14% snaps0.600.60+0.00
Chris Manhertz TE · 32% snaps0.100.34+0.24

Injury history

Over his 2 full seasons on record, Theo Johnson played 27 of 34 regular-season games (79%), and 5 of 6 so far in 2026.

SeasonTeamPlayedMissedListed outQuestionableInjuries listed
2026NYG5 of 6110Neck
2025NYG15 of 17220Illness
2024NYG12 of 17500—

Regular season only. Games played counts games with at least one offensive snap; designations are from the official weekly injury report, which does not list players on injured reserve, so a long absence shows as missed games rather than as weeks listed out.

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

When a team’s number-one tight end does not play, what each position group gains:

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1072,1602.29
Tight ends+0.4921,0249.57
Backs-0.0451,259-0.92

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Theo Johnson’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 7