6′3″, 213 lb · age 23 · Florida State; Michigan State · 2024 draft, round 2
The Buffalo Bills are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at LV: Keon Coleman caught 4 of 6 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown on 85% of snaps.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Keon Coleman is averaging 3.2 receptions and 47 receiving yards on 68% of snaps, against 2.7 receptions and 30 receiving yards over 15 games last season.
Keon Coleman snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
LV
85%
20.0%
6
4
59
1
—
26 wk5
LA
70%
11.1%
2
1
7
1
3.2 -2.2
26 wk4
NE
78%
23.3%
7
6
116
1
2.8 +3.2
26 wk3
LAC
48%
7.7%
2
1
37
0
3.1 -2.1
26 wk2
DET
74%
21.4%
6
6
63
0
—
26 wk1
HOU
50%
3.6%
1
1
1
0
—
25 wk20
DEN
45%
7.7%
3
1
10
1
—
25 wk19
JAX
43%
2.9%
1
1
36
0
—
25 wk18
NYJ
81%
14.3%
4
2
49
0
—
25 wk15
NE
56%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 17 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
9 of 17
53%
5+ receptions
2 of 17
12%
7+ receptions
1 of 17
6%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 17
12%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 17
6%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 17
6%
Scored a touchdown
5 of 17
29%
Keon Coleman 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Keon Coleman has 19 catches for 283 receiving yards (3.2 catches and 47.2 yards a game), with 3 touchdowns, on 68% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (31 games)
Catches per game
3.2
2.3
Receiving yards per game
47.2
33.2
Target share
14.5%
14.2%
Keon Coleman 2025 stats
In 2025 Keon Coleman had 40 catches for 450 yards over 15 games, with 5 touchdowns, on 62% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016