The Buffalo Bills are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at LV: Josh Palmer caught 1 of 2 targets for 37 yards on 25% of snaps.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 5 games this season Josh Palmer is averaging 0.8 receptions and 23 receiving yards on 37% of snaps, against 1.8 receptions and 25 receiving yards over 12 games last season.
Josh Palmer snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
LV
25%
6.7%
2
1
37
0
—
26 wk4
NE
59%
13.3%
4
1
3
0
1.2 -0.2
26 wk3
LAC
32%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
1.3 -1.3
26 wk2
DET
38%
10.7%
3
1
43
1
—
26 wk1
HOU
31%
7.1%
2
1
34
1
—
25 wk18
NYJ
84%
10.7%
3
1
1
0
—
25 wk17
PHI
50%
6.1%
2
1
12
0
—
25 wk16
CLE
70%
5.6%
1
1
2
0
—
25 wk15
NE
33%
7.7%
2
1
16
0
—
25 wk12
HOU
50%
12.5%
4
2
21
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 14 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
1 of 14
7%
5+ receptions
1 of 14
7%
7+ receptions
0 of 14
0%
50+ receiving yards
2 of 14
14%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 14
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 14
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 14
14%
Josh Palmer 2026 stats
Through 5 games of 2026, Josh Palmer has 4 catches for 117 receiving yards (0.8 catches and 23.4 yards a game), with 2 touchdowns, on 37% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (5 games)
2021–2025 (71 games)
Catches per game
0.8
2.9
Receiving yards per game
23.4
36.9
Target share
7.6%
13.1%
Josh Palmer 2025 stats
In 2025 Josh Palmer had 22 catches for 303 yards over 12 games, on 48% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016