The Buffalo Bills are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 4 stats
Sun Oct 4, vs NE: DJ Moore caught 1 of 2 targets for 11 yards on 39% of snaps.
Stats through week 4. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season DJ Moore is averaging 3.0 receptions and 44 receiving yards on 52% of snaps, against 3.2 receptions and 42 receiving yards over 19 games last season.
DJ Moore snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk4
NE
39%
6.7%
2
1
11
1
6
0
3.1 -2.1
26 wk3
LAC
64%
38.5%
10
6
67
0
0
0
2.7 +3.3
26 wk2
DET
31%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
-1
0
—
26 wk1
HOU
76%
28.6%
8
5
100
0
0
1
—
25 wk20
LA
72%
19.0%
8
5
52
1
8
1
—
25 wk19
GB
86%
15.2%
7
6
64
1
-5
1
—
25 wk18
DET
85%
10.3%
3
1
11
0
0
0
—
25 wk17
SF
92%
10.3%
4
1
7
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
GB
95%
24.1%
7
5
97
1
12
1
—
25 wk15
CLE
88%
18.5%
5
4
69
0
0
2
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 21 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
14 of 21
67%
5+ receptions
6 of 21
29%
7+ receptions
0 of 21
0%
50+ receiving yards
9 of 21
43%
75+ receiving yards
2 of 21
10%
100+ receiving yards
1 of 21
5%
Scored a touchdown
8 of 21
38%
DJ Moore 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, DJ Moore has 12 catches for 178 receiving yards (3.0 catches and 44.5 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 52% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2018–2025 (133 games)
Catches per game
3.0
4.7
Receiving yards per game
44.5
62.6
Target share
18.4%
24.2%
DJ Moore 2025 stats
In 2025 DJ Moore had 61 catches for 798 yards over 19 games, with 9 touchdowns, on 84% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
9 seasons of usage, 2018–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016