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Targets Per Game Leaders

Targets per game repeats at 0.92 between halves of a season. It is the raw form of target share and it carries almost as well.

0 is a coin flip and 1 is a fixed property. Each bar is one measure correlated with itself across the same season. Opportunity sits at the top and efficiency at the bottom, and that ordering is the single most useful thing on this page.

Who gets thrown at the most?

#	Player	Games	Targets per game
1	Malik Nabers	22	10.18
2	Puka Nacua	51	10.12
3	Antonio Brown	67	9.99
4	Davante Adams	163	9.81
5	Ja'Marr Chase	88	9.72
6	Julian Edelman	57	9.39
7	Keenan Allen	141	9.15
8	Justin Jefferson	99	9.14
9	Amon-Ra St. Brown	90	9.12
10	Garrett Wilson	61	9.10
11	Michael Thomas	90	8.97
12	CeeDee Lamb	102	8.85
13	Chris Olave	58	8.50
14	Brock Bowers	30	8.40
15	Tyreek Hill	160	8.39
16	Stefon Diggs	168	8.39
17	Mike Evans	159	8.33
18	Travis Kelce	185	8.31
19	DeAndre Hopkins	155	8.21
20	Jarvis Landry	103	8.14

2016-2026, 61,376 player-games. only those with at least 4 games, applied because the question set no minimum and a rate over a handful is not a ranking.

This season

#	Player	Games	Targets per game
1	Brock Bowers	1	13.00
2	Chris Olave	3	12.00
3	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	3	12.00
4	Amon-Ra St. Brown	3	11.67
5	Trey McBride	3	11.33
6	Michael Wilson	3	10.33
7	Matthew Golden	3	10.00
8	Nico Collins	1	10.00
9	Christian Watson	3	9.67
10	Davante Adams	3	9.67
11	DeVonta Smith	3	9.00
12	Garrett Wilson	3	9.00
13	Puka Nacua	1	9.00
14	CeeDee Lamb	3	8.33
15	Dalton Schultz	3	8.33

2026 so far. everyone who matched -- the usual four-game minimum was dropped because nobody in this window has played that many yet, so read a one or two game rate as the small sample it is.

What this number is worth

A target is an intention: somebody decided to throw at this player. Everything downstream of that -- the catch, the yards, the touchdown -- adds noise without adding information about what comes next.

This project measures targets as the better instrument on every availability cascade: when a team's number one sits, the room's targets move more cleanly than its catches, because catches stack catch-rate noise on top of target volume.

Split-half reliability 0.92 (0.96 projected to a full season) across 2,962 player-seasons, 2018–2025, every player with at least four games in each half of a season. Measured 2026-09-29 by tools/reliability_players.py; the boards above are built by the same query engine the assistant uses.

Snap Share Leaders — and Why It Is the Most Reliable Number in FantasyThe most repeatable thing a player does Target Share Leaders — the Best Receiving Signal There IsRepeats at 0.93 Catches Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.89 Receiving Yards Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.87