Slate Stats › NFL › Leaders

Target Share Leaders — the Best Receiving Signal There Is

Target share is the most reliable receiving measure we hold. Odd weeks predict even weeks at 0.93, and it is worth more than any yardage total because it is a share of something finite.

0 is a coin flip and 1 is a fixed property. Each bar is one measure correlated with itself across the same season. Opportunity sits at the top and efficiency at the bottom, and that ordering is the single most useful thing on this page.

Who commands the biggest share of their team's targets?

#	Player	Games	Target share (per-game average)
1	Malik Nabers	22	32.5%
2	Puka Nacua	51	30.7%
3	Davante Adams	163	29.0%
4	Justin Jefferson	99	28.5%
5	Garrett Wilson	61	28.1%
6	Amon-Ra St. Brown	90	27.7%
7	A.J. Brown	119	27.5%
8	Ja'Marr Chase	88	27.3%
9	Drake London	65	27.3%
10	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	57	26.9%
11	Julian Edelman	57	26.5%
12	Zay Flowers	54	26.4%
13	Michael Thomas	90	26.3%
14	Antonio Brown	67	26.3%
15	Keenan Allen	141	26.0%
16	Chris Olave	58	25.9%
17	DeAndre Hopkins	155	25.5%
18	Jarvis Landry	103	25.4%
19	Brock Bowers	30	25.3%
20	DeVonta Smith	93	25.2%

2016-2026, 61,376 player-games. only those with at least 4 games, applied because the question set no minimum and a rate over a handful is not a ranking.

This season

#	Player	Games	Target share (per-game average)
1	Brock Bowers	1	43.3%
2	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	3	39.8%
3	Puka Nacua	1	33.3%
4	DeVonta Smith	3	32.5%
5	Amon-Ra St. Brown	3	32.0%
6	Trey McBride	3	31.9%
7	Parker Washington	3	30.0%
8	Chris Olave	3	29.6%
9	Garrett Wilson	3	28.7%
10	Isaiah Likely	3	27.5%
11	Zay Flowers	2	27.5%
12	Davante Adams	3	27.4%
13	Nico Collins	1	27.0%
14	Drake London	3	26.9%
15	Malik Washington	3	26.6%

2026 so far. everyone who matched -- the usual four-game minimum was dropped because nobody in this window has played that many yet, so read a one or two game rate as the small sample it is.

What this number is worth

A team throws a roughly fixed number of passes. Who those passes go to is decided by a coordinator and a quarterback's habits, and both persist. Yards depend on what happens after the catch.

Prefer it to receptions or yards when you are judging whether a player's role is real. If target share and production disagree, target share is usually the one that carries.

Split-half reliability 0.93 (0.96 projected to a full season) across 2,962 player-seasons, 2018–2025, every player with at least four games in each half of a season. Measured 2026-09-29 by tools/reliability_players.py; the boards above are built by the same query engine the assistant uses.

Snap Share Leaders — and Why It Is the Most Reliable Number in FantasyThe most repeatable thing a player does Targets Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.92 Catches Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.89 Receiving Yards Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.87