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Catches Per Game Leaders

Catches per game repeats at 0.89, a little below targets, and the gap between the two is exactly the catch-rate noise that sits on top of target volume.

0 is a coin flip and 1 is a fixed property. Each bar is one measure correlated with itself across the same season. Opportunity sits at the top and efficiency at the bottom, and that ordering is the single most useful thing on this page.

Who catches the most passes?

#	Player	Games	Catches per game
1	Puka Nacua	51	7.10
2	Michael Thomas	90	6.76
3	Amon-Ra St. Brown	90	6.67
4	Ja'Marr Chase	88	6.62
5	Antonio Brown	67	6.49
6	Malik Nabers	22	6.32
7	Davante Adams	163	6.25
8	Brock Bowers	30	6.20
9	Keenan Allen	141	6.16
10	Justin Jefferson	99	6.10
11	Travis Kelce	185	6.05
12	CeeDee Lamb	102	6.03
13	Julian Edelman	57	6.02
14	Stefon Diggs	168	5.85
15	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	57	5.72
16	Tyreek Hill	160	5.72
17	Cooper Kupp	135	5.63
18	Rashee Rice	35	5.57
19	Christian McCaffrey	124	5.54
20	Garrett Wilson	61	5.51

2016-2026, 61,376 player-games. only those with at least 4 games, applied because the question set no minimum and a rate over a handful is not a ranking.

This season

#	Player	Games	Catches per game
1	Brock Bowers	1	10.00
2	Chris Olave	3	9.00
3	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	3	9.00
4	Trey McBride	3	8.67
5	Amon-Ra St. Brown	3	7.67
6	Garrett Wilson	3	7.00
7	Nico Collins	1	7.00
8	CeeDee Lamb	3	6.67
9	Dalton Schultz	3	6.33
10	DeVonta Smith	3	6.33
11	Kalif Raymond	3	6.33
12	Davante Adams	3	6.00
13	Ja'Marr Chase	3	6.00
14	Jahmyr Gibbs	3	6.00
15	Jalen Coker	3	6.00

2026 so far. everyone who matched -- the usual four-game minimum was dropped because nobody in this window has played that many yet, so read a one or two game rate as the small sample it is.

What this number is worth

Receptions are targets multiplied by a catch rate that barely repeats at all (0.19). Most of what makes a receptions total predictable is the target count underneath it.

It is the market's most common receiving line, and it is a reasonable one -- but if you are choosing between two players on usage, the target number is the cleaner read.

Split-half reliability 0.89 (0.94 projected to a full season) across 2,962 player-seasons, 2018–2025, every player with at least four games in each half of a season. Measured 2026-09-29 by tools/reliability_players.py; the boards above are built by the same query engine the assistant uses.

Snap Share Leaders — and Why It Is the Most Reliable Number in FantasyThe most repeatable thing a player does Target Share Leaders — the Best Receiving Signal There IsRepeats at 0.93 Targets Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.92 Receiving Yards Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.87