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Receiving Yards Per Game Leaders

Receiving yards per game repeats at 0.87 — well enough to model directly, and notably better than the yards per catch it is often decomposed into.

0 is a coin flip and 1 is a fixed property. Each bar is one measure correlated with itself across the same season. Opportunity sits at the top and efficiency at the bottom, and that ordering is the single most useful thing on this page.

Who gains the most receiving yards?

#	Player	Games	Receiving yards per game
1	Puka Nacua	51	96.5
2	Justin Jefferson	99	88.5
3	Ja'Marr Chase	88	86.5
4	Antonio Brown	67	85.4
5	Davante Adams	163	79.7
6	Michael Thomas	90	79.3
7	CeeDee Lamb	102	78.8
8	Tyreek Hill	160	78.6
9	Amon-Ra St. Brown	90	76.6
10	Julio Jones	109	75.1
11	Mike Evans	159	73.8
12	A.J. Brown	119	72.9
13	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	57	72.9
14	Julian Edelman	57	72.8
15	Travis Kelce	185	72.6
16	Malik Nabers	22	71.4
17	Stefon Diggs	168	70.9
18	Chris Olave	58	70.7
19	Keenan Allen	141	69.5
20	Cooper Kupp	135	69.4

2016-2026, 61,376 player-games. only those with at least 4 games, applied because the question set no minimum and a rate over a handful is not a ranking.

This season

#	Player	Games	Receiving yards per game
1	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	3	135.0
2	Chris Olave	3	125.0
3	Davante Adams	3	119.3
4	Zay Flowers	2	117.0
5	Brock Bowers	1	116.0
6	CeeDee Lamb	3	103.0
7	Christian Watson	3	94.7
8	Drake London	3	91.3
9	Dalton Kincaid	3	87.7
10	Matthew Golden	3	84.3
11	Tee Higgins	3	81.3
12	Garrett Wilson	3	81.0
13	DeVonta Smith	3	78.3
14	Travis Kelce	3	77.0
15	Amon-Ra St. Brown	3	76.0

2026 so far. everyone who matched -- the usual four-game minimum was dropped because nobody in this window has played that many yet, so read a one or two game rate as the small sample it is.

What this number is worth

Yardage is volume multiplied by depth and by what happens after the catch. Volume carries; the rest mostly does not.

Model yards DIRECTLY rather than as catches times yards per catch. Yards per game repeats at 0.87 and yards per catch at 0.33, so the decomposition throws reliability away.

Split-half reliability 0.87 (0.93 projected to a full season) across 2,962 player-seasons, 2018–2025, every player with at least four games in each half of a season. Measured 2026-09-29 by tools/reliability_players.py; the boards above are built by the same query engine the assistant uses.

Snap Share Leaders — and Why It Is the Most Reliable Number in FantasyThe most repeatable thing a player does Target Share Leaders — the Best Receiving Signal There IsRepeats at 0.93 Targets Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.92 Catches Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.89