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Catch Rate Leaders — and Why Catch Rate Is Nearly Meaningless

Catch rate repeats at 0.19 between halves of the same season. A receiver who caught a high share of his targets in the first half of a year tells you very little about the second half.

0 is a coin flip and 1 is a fixed property. Each bar is one measure correlated with itself across the same season. Opportunity sits at the top and efficiency at the bottom, and that ordering is the single most useful thing on this page.

Who catches the highest share of what is thrown at them?

#	Player	Games	Catch rate	Targets
1	Tyler Allgeier	70	89.6%	77
2	Bucky Irving	31	88.5%	104
3	Rachaad White	74	88.2%	255
4	Maxx Williams	70	87.1%	85
5	DeeJay Dallas	83	85.7%	77
6	Isiah Pacheco	61	84.5%	129
7	Travis Homer	70	84.1%	69
8	Jacquizz Rodgers	42	83.3%	72
9	James Conner	111	83.3%	354
10	Roschon Johnson	36	83.3%	60
11	Jaylen Warren	70	83.3%	221
12	Jaleel McLaughlin	46	82.4%	74
13	Lee Smith	82	82.4%	51
14	C.J. Prosise	29	82.0%	50
15	Samaje Perine	127	82.0%	261
16	Zach Charbonnet	50	81.9%	116
17	Daniel Bellinger	67	81.7%	115
18	Jaylen Samuels	41	81.7%	104
19	Corey Clement	65	81.7%	71
20	Jamaal Williams	120	81.5%	238

2016-2026, 61,376 player-games. only those with at least 50 targets, applied because the question set no minimum and a rate over a handful is not a ranking.

This season

#	Player	Games	Catch rate	Targets
1	AJ Dillon	3	100.0%	1
2	Ben Skowronek	2	100.0%	2
3	Bhayshul Tuten	3	100.0%	5
4	Brady Russell	3	100.0%	3
5	Brashard Smith	2	100.0%	1
6	Breece Hall	3	100.0%	10
7	Brevyn Spann-Ford	3	100.0%	3
8	Brian Robinson	3	100.0%	2
9	Brock Wright	3	100.0%	3
10	Cade Stover	3	100.0%	1
11	Charlie Kolar	2	100.0%	3
12	Chimere Dike	3	100.0%	2
13	Chuba Hubbard	3	100.0%	9
14	Colbie Young	3	100.0%	2
15	Corey Kiner	3	100.0%	1

2026 so far. everyone who matched -- the usual four-game minimum was dropped because nobody in this window has played that many yet, so read a one or two game rate as the small sample it is.

What this number is worth

Catch rate is mostly a property of the THROWS, not the catcher: a player fed short, high-percentage targets will post a high rate whoever he is. Good hands are real; they are a small part of this number.

Do not treat a high catch rate as a skill you can project forward, and be suspicious of any argument that leans on it. The usage underneath -- targets, target share, snaps -- repeats four to five times better.

Split-half reliability 0.19 (0.32 projected to a full season) across 2,783 player-seasons, 2018–2025, every player with at least four games in each half of a season. Measured 2026-09-29 by tools/reliability_players.py; the boards above are built by the same query engine the assistant uses.

Snap Share Leaders — and Why It Is the Most Reliable Number in FantasyThe most repeatable thing a player does Target Share Leaders — the Best Receiving Signal There IsRepeats at 0.93 Targets Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.92 Catches Per Game LeadersRepeats at 0.89