Slate StatsNFLInjury impact

If Kyle Monangai is out, who gets his targets?

The Chicago Bears room absorbs +0.22 receptions, and D'Andre Swift takes the largest single share at +0.22. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the running back room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Kyle Monangai sitsD'Andre Swift+0.2RB 62% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerNowIf outChange
Luther Burden III WR · 65% snaps3.703.70+0.00
Rome Odunze WR · 66% snaps3.303.30+0.00
Kalif Raymond WR · 61% snaps3.203.20+0.00
Colston Loveland TE · 86% snaps2.702.70+0.00
D'Andre Swift RB · 62% snaps2.502.72+0.22
Cole Kmet TE · 63% snaps1.901.90+0.00
Kyle Monangai RB · 38% snaps1.70OUT
Jahdae Walker WR · 27% snaps0.800.80+0.00
Zavion Thomas WR · 3% snaps0.800.80+0.00
Sam Roush TE · 22% snaps0.700.70+0.00

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.1122,0942.36
Tight ends+0.1031,2582.16
Backs+0.6101,04211.17

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Kyle Monangai’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 3