The Buffalo Bills are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at LV: Ray Davis ran 1 time for 4 yards, caught 1 for 5 on 13% of snaps.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Ray Davis is averaging 0.8 carries for 2 rushing yards and 0.5 catches on 11% of snaps, against 3.1 carries for 14 rushing yards and 0.6 catches over 19 games last season.
Ray Davis snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
LV
13%
3.3%
1
1
5
1
4
0
—
26 wk5
LA
16%
5.6%
1
1
31
2
2
0
0.4 +0.6
26 wk4
NE
7%
3.3%
1
1
4
1
3
0
0.3 +0.7
26 wk3
LAC
8%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.4 -0.4
26 wk2
DET
14%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
HOU
9%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
3
0
—
25 wk20
DEN
35%
5.1%
2
2
33
0
0
0
—
25 wk19
JAX
32%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
NYJ
64%
7.1%
2
2
23
21
151
1
—
25 wk17
PHI
13%
3.0%
1
1
12
1
4
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 21 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 21
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 21
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 21
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 21
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 21
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 21
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 21
10%
Ray Davis 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Ray Davis has 3 catches for 40 receiving yards (0.5 catches and 6.7 yards a game), on 11% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2024–2025 (39 games)
Catches per game
0.5
0.7
Receiving yards per game
6.7
7.9
Target share
2.0%
3.2%
Ray Davis 2025 stats
In 2025 Ray Davis had 58 carries for 275 yards and 12 catches for 119 yards over 19 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 16% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2024–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016