The Buffalo Bills are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at LV: Dawson Knox caught 1 of 1 target for 0 yards on 69% of snaps.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Dawson Knox is averaging 1.3 receptions and 6 receiving yards on 69% of snaps, against 2.2 receptions and 25 receiving yards over 19 games last season.
Dawson Knox snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
LV
69%
3.3%
1
1
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk5
LA
70%
16.7%
3
1
6
0
0
0
2.3 -1.3
26 wk4
NE
61%
6.7%
2
2
13
0
0
0
2.4 -0.4
26 wk3
LAC
70%
3.8%
1
1
5
1
0
0
2.5 -1.5
26 wk2
DET
76%
7.1%
2
2
5
0
0
1
—
26 wk1
HOU
67%
3.6%
1
1
7
0
0
0
—
25 wk20
DEN
64%
12.8%
5
3
32
0
0
0
—
25 wk19
JAX
48%
8.6%
3
3
30
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
NYJ
5%
7.1%
2
2
24
0
0
1
—
25 wk17
PHI
63%
15.2%
5
5
30
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 21 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
8 of 21
38%
5+ receptions
2 of 21
10%
7+ receptions
0 of 21
0%
50+ receiving yards
1 of 21
5%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 21
5%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 21
0%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 21
19%
Dawson Knox 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Dawson Knox has 8 catches for 36 receiving yards (1.3 catches and 6.0 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 69% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2019–2025 (117 games)
Catches per game
1.3
2.3
Receiving yards per game
6.0
26.3
Target share
6.9%
10.6%
Dawson Knox 2025 stats
In 2025 Dawson Knox had 42 catches for 479 yards over 19 games, with 4 touchdowns, on 58% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
8 seasons of usage, 2019–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016