6′6″, 256 lb · age 28 · Boise State · 2021 draft, round 4
The Washington Commanders are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Mon Oct 19, at SF: John Bates caught 1 of 1 target for 4 yards on 37% of snaps.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season John Bates is averaging 0.8 receptions and 4 receiving yards on 43% of snaps, against 0.7 receptions and 7 receiving yards over 15 games last season.
John Bates snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
SF
37%
2.9%
1
1
4
0
—
26 wk5
NYG
45%
4.3%
1
1
1
0
1.1 -0.1
26 wk4
IND
42%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
1.0 -1.0
26 wk3
SEA
54%
3.3%
1
1
9
0
1.5 -0.5
26 wk2
DAL
31%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
PHI
49%
10.3%
3
2
13
0
—
25 wk18
PHI
59%
10.5%
2
2
13
1
—
25 wk17
DAL
43%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk16
PHI
50%
5.0%
1
0
0
0
—
25 wk15
NYG
69%
6.2%
1
1
19
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 17 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 17
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 17
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 17
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 17
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 17
6%
John Bates 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, John Bates has 5 catches for 27 receiving yards (0.8 catches and 4.5 yards a game), on 43% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2021–2025 (85 games)
Catches per game
0.8
0.9
Receiving yards per game
4.5
8.5
Target share
3.5%
4.3%
John Bates 2025 stats
In 2025 John Bates had 11 catches for 103 yards over 15 games, with 1 touchdown, on 51% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
6 seasons of usage, 2021–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016