The Washington Commanders are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Mon Oct 19, at SF: Chig Okonkwo caught 7 of 7 targets for 69 yards on 76% of snaps.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 4 games this season Chig Okonkwo is averaging 3.8 receptions and 38 receiving yards on 65% of snaps, against 3.3 receptions and 33 receiving yards over 17 games last season.
Chig Okonkwo snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
SF
76%
20.0%
7
7
69
0
—
26 wk5
NYG
71%
26.1%
6
4
60
0
2.8 +1.2
26 wk4
IND
58%
11.1%
4
2
5
0
2.7 -0.7
26 wk1
PHI
56%
10.3%
3
2
16
0
—
25 wk18
JAX
80%
15.2%
5
2
2
0
—
25 wk17
NO
51%
20.0%
7
3
55
1
—
25 wk16
KC
45%
29.6%
8
6
44
1
—
25 wk15
SF
57%
22.2%
6
4
33
0
—
25 wk14
CLE
48%
8.0%
2
2
20
0
—
25 wk13
JAX
61%
14.3%
5
4
29
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 18 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
12 of 18
67%
5+ receptions
3 of 18
17%
7+ receptions
0 of 18
0%
50+ receiving yards
4 of 18
22%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 18
0%
Scored a touchdown
2 of 18
11%
Chig Okonkwo 2026 stats
Through 4 games of 2026, Chig Okonkwo has 15 catches for 150 receiving yards (3.8 catches and 37.5 yards a game), on 65% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (4 games)
2022–2025 (68 games)
Catches per game
3.8
2.9
Receiving yards per game
37.5
29.7
Target share
16.9%
13.9%
Chig Okonkwo 2025 stats
In 2025 Chig Okonkwo had 56 catches for 560 yards over 17 games, with 2 touchdowns, on 64% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
5 seasons of usage, 2022–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016