The Washington Commanders are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Mon Oct 19, at SF: Antonio Williams caught 3 of 4 targets for 50 yards on 67% of snaps.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Antonio Williams has no full prior season to anchor to, so this week’s projection leans on his 5 games of current-season usage alone — treat it as a thinner read than a veteran’s.
Antonio Williams snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
SF
67%
11.4%
4
3
50
0
—
26 wk5
NYG
68%
13.0%
3
3
31
0
3.6 -0.6
26 wk4
IND
69%
22.2%
8
3
21
0
2.8 +0.2
26 wk3
SEA
41%
13.3%
4
2
15
0
3.1 -1.1
26 wk2
DAL
49%
8.8%
3
3
24
0
—
26 wk1
PHI
37%
13.8%
4
4
64
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
Antonio Williams 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Antonio Williams has 18 catches for 205 receiving yards (3.0 catches and 34.2 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 55% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2020–2022 (2 games)
Catches per game
3.0
0.5
Receiving yards per game
34.2
10.0
Target share
13.8%
1.4%
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
3 seasons of usage, 2020–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016