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If Rashod Bateman is out, who gets his targets?
The Baltimore Ravens room absorbs +1.11 receptions, and Devontez Walker takes the largest single share at +0.23. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.
Where the work goes
Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.
Every player in the room
| Player | Now | If out | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zay Flowers WR · 29% snaps | 4.30 | 4.52 | +0.22 |
| Mark Andrews TE · 72% snaps | 3.40 | 3.40 | +0.00 |
| Rashod Bateman WR · 86% snaps | 2.90 | — | OUT |
| Justice Hill RB · 46% snaps | 2.20 | 2.20 | +0.00 |
| Derrick Henry RB · 54% snaps | 1.50 | 1.50 | +0.00 |
| Ja'Kobi Lane WR · 40% snaps | 1.40 | 1.62 | +0.22 |
| LaJohntay Wester WR · 41% snaps | 1.10 | 1.32 | +0.22 |
| Chris Moore WR · 46% snaps | 0.90 | 1.12 | +0.22 |
| Durham Smythe TE · 58% snaps | 0.80 | 0.80 | +0.00 |
| Devontez Walker WR · 29% snaps | 0.60 | 0.83 | +0.23 |
| Matthew Hibner TE · 34% snaps | 0.60 | 0.60 | +0.00 |
| Rasheen Ali RB · 0% snaps | 0.50 | 0.50 | +0.00 |
What the data says happens
Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.
| Room | Receptions gained | n | t |
|---|---|---|---|
| Receivers | +0.584 | 1,537 | 11.16 |
| Tight ends | +0.175 | 1,080 | 3.33 |
| Backs | +0.113 | 1,011 | 2.00 |
The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.
Rashod Bateman’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection