The Los Angeles Chargers are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at KC: Keaton Mitchell ran 2 times for 4 yards on 25% of snaps.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Keaton Mitchell is averaging 5.8 carries for 23 rushing yards and 2.0 catches on 32% of snaps, against 4.5 carries for 26 rushing yards and 0.7 catches over 13 games last season.
Keaton Mitchell snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
KC
25%
2.8%
1
0
0
2
4
0
—
26 wk5
DEN
34%
19.0%
4
3
18
6
11
0
1.7 +1.3
26 wk4
SEA
37%
19.4%
6
5
24
10
39
0
1.1 +3.9
26 wk3
BUF
38%
9.1%
3
3
-5
8
52
1
0.8 +2.2
26 wk2
LV
25%
3.8%
1
1
15
5
24
0
—
26 wk1
ARI
31%
0.0%
0
0
0
4
9
0
—
25 wk18
PIT
14%
0.0%
0
0
0
2
2
0
—
25 wk17
GB
18%
10.0%
2
2
7
9
31
0
—
25 wk16
NE
35%
0.0%
0
0
0
9
13
0
—
25 wk15
CIN
39%
8.3%
1
0
0
8
66
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 15 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 15
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 15
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 15
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 15
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 15
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 15
0%
Scored a touchdown
1 of 15
7%
Keaton Mitchell 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Keaton Mitchell has 35 carries for 139 rushing yards (23.2 a game) and 12 catches for 52 receiving yards (2.0 catches and 8.7 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 32% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (25 games)
Catches per game
2.0
0.8
Receiving yards per game
8.7
7.4
Target share
9.0%
4.0%
Keaton Mitchell 2025 stats
In 2025 Keaton Mitchell had 59 carries for 341 yards and 9 catches for 63 yards over 13 games, with 1 touchdown, on 17% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016