The Los Angeles Chargers are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, at KC: Derius Davis played 7% of snaps without a touch.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Derius Davis is averaging 0.2 receptions and 1 receiving yards on 9% of snaps, against 0.2 receptions and 1 receiving yards over 12 games last season.
Derius Davis snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
Car
Rush yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
KC
7%
0.0%
0
0
0
1
4
0
—
26 wk5
DEN
15%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.4 -0.4
26 wk4
SEA
4%
3.2%
1
1
6
0
0
0
0.2 +0.8
26 wk3
BUF
1%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0.5 -0.5
26 wk2
LV
12%
3.8%
1
0
0
0
0
0
—
26 wk1
ARI
18%
3.7%
1
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk19
NE
7%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk18
DEN
66%
2.6%
1
1
7
0
0
0
—
25 wk14
PHI
—
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
25 wk13
LV
1%
0.0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 14 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
0 of 14
0%
5+ receptions
0 of 14
0%
7+ receptions
0 of 14
0%
50+ receiving yards
0 of 14
0%
75+ receiving yards
0 of 14
0%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 14
0%
Scored a touchdown
0 of 14
0%
Derius Davis 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Derius Davis has 1 catches for 6 receiving yards (0.2 catches and 1.0 yards a game), on 10% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (45 games)
Catches per game
0.2
0.7
Receiving yards per game
1.0
4.3
Target share
1.8%
2.7%
Derius Davis 2025 stats
In 2025 Derius Davis had 2 catches for 10 yards over 12 games, on 12% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016