6′4″, 253 lb · age 25 · Penn State · 2023 draft, round 2
The Jacksonville Jaguars are on their bye in week 7, so there is no projection this week. His usage and history are below.
Week 6 stats
Sun Oct 18, vs HOU: Brenton Strange caught 5 of 7 targets for 44 yards on 76% of snaps.
Stats through week 6. Checked Oct 21, 2026. Full game log.
Through 6 games this season Brenton Strange is averaging 4.3 receptions and 46 receiving yards on 79% of snaps, against 3.7 receptions and 42 receiving yards over 13 games last season.
Brenton Strange snap share, game by game
Snap shareTarget share
Role is the most repeatable thing a player has. Snap share reproduces at 0.96 between halves of a season; receptions manage 0.89 and touchdowns 0.56. When these lines move, production follows — not the other way round. Snap share leaders.
Game log
Game
Opp
Snap share
Target share
Tgt
Rec
Rec yds
TD
We said
26 wk6
HOU
76%
17.1%
7
5
44
0
—
26 wk5
PHI
81%
21.1%
8
7
68
0
3.9 +3.1
26 wk4
CIN
87%
34.8%
8
7
95
0
3.3 +3.7
26 wk3
NE
77%
18.5%
5
3
32
0
3.2 -0.2
26 wk2
DEN
83%
7.1%
2
2
17
0
—
26 wk1
CLE
68%
14.3%
3
2
23
1
—
25 wk19
BUF
88%
16.7%
5
2
9
0
—
25 wk18
TEN
62%
19.4%
6
6
52
1
—
25 wk17
IND
81%
13.5%
5
3
54
0
—
25 wk16
DEN
74%
20.0%
7
5
39
1
—
“We said” is the projection as it was published that week, stored before the game, with the miss beside it. Re-running today’s model on a past week would grade a model that did not exist when the number went out, so those weeks show a dash instead.
How often he has actually done it
Rates over his last 15 games. A projection says what to expect on average; this says how often the thing you actually need has happened.
Outcome
Games it happened
How often
3+ receptions
10 of 15
67%
5+ receptions
5 of 15
33%
7+ receptions
0 of 15
0%
50+ receiving yards
5 of 15
33%
75+ receiving yards
1 of 15
7%
100+ receiving yards
0 of 15
0%
Scored a touchdown
4 of 15
27%
Brenton Strange 2026 stats
Through 6 games of 2026, Brenton Strange has 26 catches for 279 receiving yards (4.3 catches and 46.5 yards a game), with 1 touchdown, on 79% of snaps.
Against the rest of his career
2026 so far (6 games)
2023–2025 (44 games)
Catches per game
4.3
2.1
Receiving yards per game
46.5
22.6
Target share
18.8%
9.0%
Brenton Strange 2025 stats
In 2025 Brenton Strange had 48 catches for 549 yards over 13 games, with 3 touchdowns, on 76% of snaps.
Season by season
Role is the part of a player that carries. Snap share repeats at 0.98 between halves of a season and target share at 0.96, so this line is a far better guide to what comes next than a points total would be.
Per-game rates over the games he appeared in. Opportunity is what reproduces — carries repeat at 0.97 between halves of a season and target share at 0.92 — while the yards it turns into are a separate and noisier question.
Receiving yards per game reproduce at 0.86 between halves of a season, against 0.61 for yards per catch — which is why this is modeled directly rather than as catches times yards per catch.
The least predictable thing a skill player does. Touchdown rate repeats at 0.55 between halves of a season against 0.89 for catches, so a spike here is mostly not a property of the player. Per game over the games he appeared in, so a season in progress is comparable to a finished one.
4 seasons of usage, 2023–2026 · per-game rates over games he appeared in · snap counts are from official play-by-play and begin in 2016