Slate StatsNFLInjury impact

If Ladd McConkey is out, who gets his targets?

The Los Angeles Chargers room absorbs +0.69 receptions, and Quentin Johnston takes the largest single share at +0.23. The work stays overwhelmingly inside the wide receiver room.

Where the work goes

Change in projected receptions for every other player in the offense. The bars are small on purpose — a vacated role is shared out, and any tool showing one replacement absorbing a whole target load is telling you something the data does not support.

Receptions gained if Ladd McConkey sitsQuentin Johnston+0.2WR 80% snapsTre Harris+0.2WR 78% snapsBrenen Thompson+0.2WR 18% snapschange in projected receptions

Every player in the room

PlayerNowIf outChange
Ladd McConkey WR · 48% snaps4.00OUT
Quentin Johnston WR · 80% snaps3.103.33+0.23
Tre Harris WR · 78% snaps2.702.93+0.23
David Njoku TE · 36% snaps2.302.30+0.00
Omarion Hampton RB · 60% snaps2.202.20+0.00
Oronde Gadsden II TE · 31% snaps2.002.00+0.00
Charlie Kolar TE · 58% snaps1.201.20+0.00
Keaton Mitchell RB · 28% snaps0.800.80+0.00
Brenen Thompson WR · 18% snaps0.700.93+0.23
Kimani Vidal RB · 8% snaps0.500.50+0.00

What the data says happens

Measured across every regular-season game from 2018 onward, each beneficiary compared against his own trailing four-game form and net of what the same players do in weeks the room’s number one actually plays.

RoomReceptions gainednt
Receivers+0.5841,53711.16
Tight ends+0.1751,0803.33
Backs+0.1131,0112.00

The room total is predictable. Which player takes it is not. Every candidate predictor of who gains — pecking order, snap share, route depth, trailing targets — correlates at roughly r = 0.02. In any single week one player usually takes about 60% of what was vacated; it is simply not predictably the same one.

Ladd McConkey’s full stats and usageSnap share, target share, game log and this week’s projection

Cascade effects 2018–2026, paired within player, net of control · projections as-of-week with no lookahead · 2026 week 3